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Here we have to look at the assumptions behind that 104p/share 10% NPV (At the 8% I find better accords with how the market is rating such project companies, the NPV would be 162p). I find it hard to believe that any institution will accord a value to a project that adds up revenues 50 years into the future. A raise price 10% higher would result in an NPV 5% higher – so not a lot there to affect the calculation.

But overall is the question whether an NPV is the best way to value.

taking in revenues from that point up to 45 years ahead – the initial capex having been made) would have risen to 400p per share. I think a share price half that would be more likely.

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